International Air Travel Transport Association has released a study which says that in the next 20 years, up to the year 2035 that the amount of passengers using airline transport will double and that this will have in turn the affect of exponentially increasing the amount of delayed flights and cancellations.
The vast majority of new passengers taking to the skies will occur in the Asia-Pacific region, with this area attributing nearly fifty-percent to the increasing amount of airline travel.
China is expected to see a vast amount of increased airline travel and this will see the world’s number two economy become home to the world’s busiest airports. India, which is encouraging massive investment into its air infrastructure will also see increased passenger numbers — which will inevitably cause a rise in flight delays and cancellations.
India will displace the UK for third place in 2026, while Indonesia enters the top ten at the expense of Italy. Growth will also increasingly be driven within developing markets. Over the past decade the developing world’s share of total passenger traffic has risen from 24% to nearly 40%, and this trend is set to continue.
The five fastest-growing markets in terms of additional passengers per year over the forecast period will be:
- China (817 million new passengers for a total of 1.3 billion)
- US (484 million new passengers for a total of 1.1 billion)
- India (322 million new passengers for a total of 442 million)
- Indonesia (135 million new passengers for a total of 242 million)
- Vietnam (112 million new passengers for a total of 150 million).
The top ten fastest-growing markets in percentage terms will be in Africa: Sierra Leone, Guinea, Central African Republic, Benin, Mali, Rwanda, Togo, Uganda, Zambia and Madagascar. Each of these markets is expected to grow by more than 8% each year on average over the next 20 years, doubling in size each decade.